人生の軌跡を綴っていきます


by yu-fen-sun
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DPJ could win 300 seats: survey

DPJ could win 300 seats: survey
LDP may see Lower House numbers slip to around 100;
New Komeito also faces losses

The Democratic Party of Japan appears likely to sweep into power (楽に政権を得る、凄い勢いで政権を得る) by securing over 300 seats in the Aug. 30 Lower House election, a Kyodo News survey showed Saturday.

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party looks set to lose its grip on government and be reduced to slightly over 100 seats in the House of Representatives (衆議院), down from the 300 it held heading into the campaign.

The LDP's junior coalition (連立) partner, New Komeito, is also struggling to win support and could lose a significant number of its 31 seats in the chamber.

However, the rest of the opposition camp (野党陣営) — the Japanese Communist Party, the Social Democratic Party and Kokumin Shinto (People's New Party) — is also finding it tough going in the campaign.

The estimates are based on a telephone survey Kyodo News conducted Thursday through Saturday of 203,448 households nationwide. Responses were received from 155,148 eligible voters (有権者).

The powerful 480-seat House of Representatives was dissolved (解散する) on July 21, but the campaign for the upcoming election officially kicked off Tuesday, when a total of 1,374 candidacies (立候補) were filed.

Of the total, 1,139 candidates (立候補者) are running for the 300 single-seat constituencies (小選挙区), and 888 for the 180 seats up for grabs in the proportional representation section (比例代表区), which is divided into 11 regional blocks. These figures include 653 candidates listed in both sections of the election.

The LDP is fielding (立候補者を出す) a total of 326 candidates, while the DPJ is putting up a combined 330. It is the first time DPJ candidates have exceeded LDP candidates in a general election (総選挙).

Of those surveyed, 36.3 percent said they have yet to decide which candidate or party to vote for in the single-seat districts, while 32.8 percent remain uncommitted (中立の) in the proportional representation section. It is thus possible the overall situation could change suddenly ahead of election day.

Under the single-seat system, the survey found that DPJ candidates would likely perform well enough to secure seats in roughly 190 constituencies (選挙区) and find themselves in close contention (接戦) for about 50 others.

The proportional representation blocks could see the DPJ win a record 90 seats, exceeding the 77 won by the LDP in its landslide victory (圧勝) in the previous general election in 2005.

The LDP, meanwhile (その一方で), is facing uphill battles (苦しい戦い) even in single-seat constituencies it has successfully defended in the past four elections dating back to 1996. This time around, LDP candidates are only considered "safe" in slightly more than 30 districts, and could score fewer than 80 single-seat victories in the election.

民主党への波は止まりそうもありませんね・・・・
change of administration (政権交代) は現実となりそうですね。
by yu-fen-sun | 2009-08-23 17:28 | 英語関連